Betting bets have pushed New York Governor Andrew Cuomo to outperform Democratic presidential nominee Senator Bernie Sanders from Vermont to become a party candidate to face President Donald Trump.
Although Cuomo was not in the running for the Democratic nomination, more people put their money in the New York governor as he took the lead in managing the coronavirus crisis at the center of the U.S. pandemic. But former Vice-President Joe Biden remains a clear favorite for Democratic nominations.
The average betting odds recently compiled by Real Clear Politics show Cuomo with a 5.6 percent chance to become a Democratic presidential candidate, while Sanders follows with an average of 3.6 percent. But Biden was way ahead, with an average of 85.8 percent, while former 2016 Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, who did not seek party nomination, came in second with an average of 6.3 percent.
New York Governor Andrew Cuomo spoke to media at the Javits Convention Center, which was turned into a hospital to help fight corona virus cases, on March 24 in New York City
Eduardo Munoz Alvarez / Getty
The odds calculated by Bovada and SpreadEx gave Cuomo the highest chance of securing Democratic nominations, 7 percent each. Meanwhile Sanders has a 4 percent and 3 percent chance respectively, according to the betting odds of the two sportsbooks.
The Cuomo press conference about the outbreak of the corona virus was watched every day by millions of people, as Americans enjoyed a direct and direct approach from the governor of New York during the national crisis. New York is also the hardest hit region in the country, with more than 30,000 confirmed cases and 280 deaths.
At present, Biden leads Sanders with a significant delegation margin – more than 300 ahead, according to Associated Press calculations. He also led Sanders by double digits in the latest national polls, and appeared to be significantly superior in the survey of countries that had not yet voted in the Democratic primary process. Apart from Sanders and Biden, there are no other candidates who actively seek Democratic nominations.
But technically, the promised delegation is not required to choose candidates who are bound to them based on the primary results and the state caucus. Although it would be very unusual, delegates who promised technically could support anyone they chose when they went to the Democratic National Convention (DNC) in July. But that is not possible, because each candidate’s campaign has a vote about who the delegation was promised. Campaigns do not tend to choose delegates they believe are not loyal.
Democratic presidential candidates Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders took part in the 11th 2020 Democratic Presidential debate in CNN studios in Washington, D.C. on March 15
MANDEL NGAN / AFP / Getty
Earlier in the election cycle, when the candidate field was still large, there was important talk about the brokered convention. Such a scenario can occur if there is no single candidate who has a majority of delegates at the time of the convention. The DNC, after the changes to the rules after the controversy in 2016, will only allow the Super Delegation – which does not promise certain candidates – to vote in the second round of elections.
But that will only happen if no candidate wins the majority of the delegation guaranteed in the first round of voting. Most political analysts now project that Biden will enter the convention with the majority he needs, which should prevent that from happening.